Stability analysis of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays

In this paper we investigated the stability of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays. Based on Lyapunov theory and applying bounded techniques of fractional calculation, sufficient criterion are established to guarantee the stability. Hybrid feedback control is applied to derive the proposed results. Finally, numerical examples with simulation results are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

近红外光谱结合共识模型快速检测果酒的总酚含量

果酒发酵中的多酚是引起果酒口感、颜色变化的重要因素。为保证果酒品质,有必要开发一种快速监测发酵过程中多酚含量变化的技术。收集不同批次成熟期的蓝莓、桑葚为原料,分别碾压成汁,同时按比例混合二者,于小型发酵罐进行发酵。通过离线收集不同发酵时段的发酵液于离心管,高速离心后取上清液置于棕色瓶保存,共计得到48个果酒发酵样本。将上清液置于三个平行样比色皿,以傅里叶快速变换近红外光谱仪(FT-NIR)采集其透射光谱,取平均值作为该样本的光谱信号。然后将棕色瓶内的发酵液以国标法(即以标准液的吸光度值制定标准曲线)测定各样品的总酚含量,以duplex法计算样本光谱之间的距离且按2∶1的比例划分为训练集和预测集。采用间隔偏最小二乘法(iPLS)将训练集样本的透射光谱与总酚含量之间构建定量模型,间隔数从2依次变化到60个。该研究创新之处是使用共识方法融合多个已构建好的iPLS成员模型,按一定的共识规则分配权系数。通过各成员模型交互验证的残差及其残差之间的相关性来优化各成员模型的线性组合,以拉格朗日乘数法求解各成员模型的权系数,使间隔偏最小二乘-共识模型(consensual iPLS,CiPLS)的交互验证均方根误差最小。相比于全局PLS模型、划分不同间隔数量时的iPLS模型,CiPLS均具有较小的预测误差。当划分39个间隔时由三个iPLS成员模型(即14th,16th,18th)组成的共识模型误差最小为124.2,交互验证相关系数为0.944,对预测集样本的预测均方根误差为163.4,预测相关系数为0.931,预测性能均优于PLS和iPLS模型。另外,作为对比选用连续投影算法与无信息变量剔除法来优化光谱模型,其预测性能均不及本文提出的共识模型。分析各iPLS模型预测残差之间的相关性,发现共识模型主要是融合那些具有较高预测性能且模型间较低相关性的成员模型。结果表明,光谱分析结合共识方法可提高回归模型的预测精度、减少建模所需变量数,能够用于果酒总酚含量的离线快速检测。     

基于Nie-Tan算法的区间二型模糊集质心计算:改变主变量采样个数

计算区间二型模糊集的质心(也称降型)是区间二型模糊逻辑系统中的一个重要模块。Karnik-Mendel(KM)迭代算法通常被认为是计算区间二型模糊集质心的标准算法。尽管如此,KM算法涉及复杂的计算过程,不利于实时应用。在各种改进类算法中,非迭代的Nie-Tan(NT)算法可节省计算消耗。此外,连续版本NT(CNT,continuous version of NT)算法被证明是计算质心的准确算法。本文比较了离散版本NT算法中求和运算和连续版本NT算法中求积分运算,通过四个计算机仿真例子证实了当适度增加区间二型模糊集主变量采样个数时,NT算法的计算结果可以精确地逼近CNT算法。     

n人可信策略博弈

本文研究模糊支付n人策略博弈,由于支付信息的不完全性,模糊支付可视为模糊变量。基于可信性理论,在不同的决策环境中引入模糊排序方法表征支付者行为。因此,本文定义四种可信均衡,等价于纳什均衡。其次证明了可信均衡存在性定理。除此之外,在现实策略博弈中用算例说明四种可信均衡的现实意义。最后讨论四种可信均衡之间可能存在的关系。     

吸收峰混叠的太赫兹光谱区间组合特征提取算法

太赫兹光谱是物质识别的前沿方法之一。由于不同物质的分子组成或结构各异,许多物质的太赫兹吸收谱会在特定频率上出现吸收峰,可以作为混合物成分检测的重要特征。有效准确地提取这些吸收峰的参数,是提高识别率的关键。多峰拟合算法将光谱曲线拟合成若干个标准峰函数之和,能够同时提取到吸收峰的频率、峰高、峰宽等信息。但是该算法以寻峰算法结果为基础确定吸收峰的大致位置和数量,寻峰结果不一定是最优的拟合结果,而且很难准确识别定位混叠状态的吸收峰。为了提高混叠光谱中吸收峰的识别定位精度,提出以大幅度平滑后的曲线波谷为分界点,将预处理后的光谱分成若干个子区间。然后将子区间组合起来进行多峰拟合,通过遗传算法得到最优的拟合子区间组合和吸收峰频率近似值,拟合时每个子区间中通过峰数递增最优化方法确定拟合的吸收峰数,最后微调优化得到最优的吸收峰频率、峰高值。为了实现物质的识别,通过密度聚类算法得到同一类纯净物在多次测量中的共同吸收峰,以此作为标准数据,通过提出的基于吸收峰特征的光谱匹配算法实现了纯净物和不同含量混合物的快速识别。对10类纯净物的实际光谱数据进行拟合聚类,得到其吸收峰参数,结果与太赫兹光谱数据库一致。通过识别算法对纯净物测试集进行识别的识别率为100%,证明了特征提取和物质识别算法的有效性。对于含有混叠峰的混合物光谱,二阶导数法对葡萄糖-乳糖混合物光谱中被掩盖吸收峰(1.280 THz)的识别率仅为70%,提取到的频率平均值为1.316 THz;而该算法提高识别率至95%,频率平均值为1.281 THz,该算法提高了对混叠峰的分辨能力,能够精确定位混叠峰。对10类纯净物构成的6类不同程度混叠的二元混合物前二、三识别率分别达到90.8%和98.3%,提取到的特征能够有效应用于混合物的成分检测。该算法能够以纯净物数据为标准数据实现成分各异的混合物成分检测,对于太赫兹光谱混合物成分检测有重要意义。     

Fuzzy logic modifications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a measurement methodology based on pair-wise comparisons that relies on judgment to derive priority scales. During its implementation, one constructs hierarchies, then makes judgments or performs measurements on pairs of elements with respect to a criterion to derive preference scales, which are then synthesized throughout the structure to select the preferred alternative.One of the areas where the AHP finds application is in the subjective phases of risk assessment (RA), where it is used to structure and prioritize diverse risk factors, including the judgments of experts. Since fuzzy logic (FL) has been shown to be an effective tool for accommodating human experts and their communication of linguistic variables, there has been research aimed at modeling the fuzziness in the AHP (FAHP), and recently the focus of some of that modeling has been with respect to RA.The literature discusses more than one FAHP model, which raises the question as to which are the prominent models and what are their characteristics. In response to this question, we examine three of the most influential FAHP models. The article proceeds as follows. It begins with a brief overview of the AHP and its limitations when confronted with a fuzzy environment. This is followed by a discussion of FL modifications of the AHP. A RA-based likelihood score example is used throughout. The article ends with a commentary on the findings.     

Capital allocation for portfolios with non-linear risk aggregation

Existing risk capital allocation methods, such as the Euler rule, work under the explicit assumption that portfolios are formed as linear combinations of random loss/profit variables, with the firm being able to choose the portfolio weights. This assumption is unrealistic in an insurance context, where arbitrary scaling of risks is generally not possible. Here, we model risks as being partially generated by Lévy processes, capturing the non-linear aggregation of risk. The model leads to non-homogeneous fuzzy games, for which the Euler rule is not applicable. For such games, we seek capital allocations that are in the core, that is, do not provide incentives for splitting portfolios. We show that the Euler rule of an auxiliary linearised fuzzy game (non-uniquely) satisfies the core property and, thus, provides a plausible and easily implemented capital allocation. In contrast, the Aumann–Shapley allocation does not generally belong to the core. For the non-homogeneous fuzzy games studied, Tasche’s (1999) criterion of suitability for performance measurement is adapted and it is shown that the proposed allocation method gives appropriate signals for improving the portfolio underwriting profit.     

The valuation of life contingencies: A symmetrical triangular fuzzy approximation

This paper extends the framework for the valuation of life insurance policies and annuities by Andrés-Sánchez and González-Vila (2012, 2014) in two ways. First we allow various uncertain magnitudes to be estimated by means of fuzzy numbers. This applies not only to interest rates but also to the amounts to be paid out by the insurance company. Second, the use of symmetrical triangular fuzzy numbers allows us to obtain expressions for the pricing of life contingencies and their variability that are closely linked to standard financial and actuarial mathematics. Moreover, they are relatively straightforward to compute and understand from a standard actuarial point of view.